Most banks and analysts frame the possibility of even higher oil prices or a forced closure of the strait as a small risk, for now. Citigroup, for instance, put the chance of a $120 barrel of oil at only 20% in a Monday note. Analysts have also noted the logistical difficulties Iran would face in ordering and maintaining a closure of the strait, including U.S. naval superiority in the region and the risks the regime would run of losing allies by cutting off energy supply. The threat of closure also isn’t new for the Islamic Republic, which has threatened to close the strait multiple times in the past, but never fully followed through.
США подсчитали ущерб от ударов Ирана17:55
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США впервые ударили по Ирану ракетой PrSM. Что о ней известно и почему ее назвали «уничтожителем» российских С-400?20:16。新收录的资料对此有专业解读
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三条路线的问题由此清晰呈现。豆包手机路线覆盖场景最广、用户感知最直接，但应用封锁的压力始终存在。谷歌+三星路线规范性最强，有安卓生态和庞大应用关系网络托底，但先谈妥再落地的节奏，决定了它能覆盖的场景深度有限。小米miclaw路线话语权最高，系统原生的身份让生态谈判更顺畅，但第三方核心应用的接入同样没有现成答案。